Archives for: Analysis Category


The strengthening dollar isn’t automatically good news for Asia.

The dollar has gained 13.2 per cent over the past six months, but this won’t be the fillip many Asian economies might hope it is, argues Frederic Neumann at HSBC:

It’s tempting to think that sliding currencies have restored Asia’s competitiveness, setting us up for a nice bounce in growth.

But forget the easy equation of exports becoming more competitive he says, and focus on the broader picture:

[W]hile most Asian currencies have weakened against the dollar, many have held up far better against the yen and the euro. Competitiveness, in short, hasn’t improved as much as a glance at dollar exchange rates might suggest.

The most helpful measure is actually the real effective exchange rate, which measures the value of an exporter’s currency against that of all major markets and that of competitors. And as the chart below illustrates, this tells a rather different story. >> Read More

Heinz-Kraft: Warren’s buffet

27 March 2015 - 10:30 am

It was easy to be sceptical: Warren Buffett and 3G paid a super-premium price to buy Heinz two years ago. It was hardly growing, and how much scope for change is there at a well-run packaged foods company?

Well, the sceptics can open their family-sized can of Heinz humble pie and dig in. Kraft’s shares traded for $83 on Thursday, implying that the Buffett/3G stake in Heinz-Kraft is worth $41bn. They invested $8bn in Heinz originally, and then contributed a further $10bn to the Kraft deal. (This does not count the preferred shares Mr Buffett bought from Heinz two years ago, which pay him a tidy $700m a year).

So how did the partners turn $18bn into $41bn? A huge amount of cost was taken out of Heinz — a fifth of the staff was sacked. So profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation) increased by over $700m, to $2.8bn, in two years. Assuming the company held on to the profit multiple at which it was bought, that increased the value of Heinz by nine billion dollars, to $38bn.

Mr Buffett and 3G also loaded Heinz with $16bn in new debt. Because the value of debt always stays the same, when Heinz’s value increased, the partners $8bn equity investment more than doubled, to about $17bn. >> Read More

COPPER MCX-Crucial Update

27 March 2015 - 10:22 am

COPPER-MCX-23rd April

Now at  387.50

Now ,What to Expect ?

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About half the world’s oil production is moved by tankers on fixed maritime routes, according to Reuters. The blockage of a chokepoint, even temporarily, can lead to substantial increases in total energy costs and thus, these checkpoints are crucial to global energy security. While Hormuz remains the largest chokepoint (and along with Bab el-Mandeb explains why Yemen matters so much)

And while Yemen is key for The Strait of Hormuz…

With Bab el-Mandeb even more specifically problematic if Yemen tensions get too extreme…

>> Read More


I believe in this scenario very strongly — but if the price action fails to confirm my expectations, will I be hugely long? No, I’m going to be flat and buying a little bit on the dips. You have to trade at a size such that if you’re not exactly right in your timing, you won’t be blown out of your position. My approach is to build to a larger size as the market is going my way. I don’t put on a trade by saying, “My God, this is the level; the market is taking off right from here.” I am definitely a scale-in type of trader. I do the same thing getting out of positions. I don’t say, “Fine, I’ve made enough money. This is it. I’m out.” Instead, I start to lighten up as I see the fundamentals or price action changing.


Worst is over…………………..!!

Yes ,All Eyes on this stock.

Above Rs 8 ,Thirsty Traders ……………..Don’t Miss it !

We see Blast upto 10.50—–12.50 in next 1-3 sessions ??

Investors :Keep a stop of Rs.6 ,buy it in TONS……………..Chart Indicates :Target of Rs.16+

Don’t ask NEWS ,But Yes somebody wants to Buy in TONS TONS TONS

Updated at 9:07/27th March/Baroda



PANIC upto 2122————————————-2095 on card.

Now ,Three Consecutive close below 2095+weekly close will take to 2012—-1985 level very soon

On Rise ,Sell Sell !!



Panic UPTO 1266————–1254 ON CARD 

Who will save this stock if breaks & closes below 1254 level ??


854 is Last Hope 

Three Consecutive close below this level +Weekly close 

Will take to 810—–796 level in panic !


Our Target of 292—-268 intact 

Yes ,Just need Patience ………..Nothing else.On Rise ,Sell Sell !!

More Stocks ,Intraday Trading levels to our Subscribers

Updated at 8:57/27th March/Baroda



We have long said that the task of active trading or active management comes down to managing risk: taking on the correct risks, the correct amount of those risks, at the correct time, and managing those risks appropriately. Though such a one line summary necessarily omits a lot of important detail, it really is about bringing the right risks into the portfolio (or trading book) at the right time, and being willing to do nothing for long stretches of time.


March Close : 8342.10

April Close : 8455.75

Difference of 113 points……………………..????

Now ,Today :What to Expect ?

101% Will Update More to our Subscribers

Hurdles @ 8491———–8511 ,Yes if Revives Keep a stop & Go short 



March Close : 17802

April Close : 18066

Difference of  264 points ??

Hurdle & Target @ 18149———————————-18259 

101% More Details ,Intraday Trading levels to our Subscribers

Stocks/Intraday levels & Many More  to our Subscribers

Updated at 8:33/27th March/Baroda



Yes ,Manipulation +Insider Trading ……………………….At PEAK !

First Corporate will Mint Money then Insiders then Local (Funds owned by Corporate Houses )……………In Last FII will take Decision & Will Mint Money

Mid April ,Again Result season will start & Again Manipulation of Price + Insider Trading for 1 month or more will start.

We Don’t Believe in Fundamentals ,Economy ,Growth ,Results :All Manipulative in India

Untill & Unless Corporate +Insider Trading stops in India :Nobody can Mint Money.

Rs 1000 entry in Your Bank Account :Income Tax will ask u 1000 questions.Who is Checking…..Who is pouring so much of money in India & Who’s Money ??

But if u Refresh your memory and see  on 4th March :We told Honeymoon is over…………….Game over for Bulls

-Yes ,2nd Rate cut happened & see there after ……….WHAT HAPPENED ??

Only Follow Chart ,Only TRADE with levels ………Nothing else.

All Results are known to Insiders ,All DATA are leaked & Open positions are known to few people sitting in Mumbai 

-Don’t Watch Blue Channels :Don’t waste time & Money (If they are so Expert then they will not do job on TV ,They will trade & mint money )

-U are only looking at PRICE on screen :Behind activities ………….out of 100 Traders only 2-3 people knows 

-Have u seen any Fund Manager/Analyst on TV @ 9100-9200 level…………Sell it ??These Jokers/Idiots are saying we are in Bull Market every Decline u should Buy…….

-At Your Backyard……….u are having Money PRINTING PRESS ??

From 9191 to 8328 ………Fall of 860+ points !

Technically Yours/ASR TEAM/BARODA




Above is Daily Chart of Nifty Index

Support Levels & Targets :8330———————————-8264 !!

Yes ,Break & close below 8264 level for 3 Consecutive Days will take to  8065———————–8000 level in panic !!

200 DMA @ 8160 


Above is Weekly Chart of NIFTY INDEX

Below 8469 level………………………..If stays ,Then Gates for 8252—-8180 

101% Looking More Weak ,On Rise …..Sell Sell Sell !!

More Details to our Subscribers ,Updated at 7:41/27th March/Baroda


The government today urged telecom spectrum winners to curtail their deadline for upfront payment and pay up the sum of Rs 28,872.7 crore by the end of this month so that the proceeds could be used to meet the deficit target for this fiscal.

According to the auction rules, operators are expected to pay up to 33 per cent of the winning price within 10 days of conclusion of the sale process, which means it can extend up to the first week of April or into the next financial year.

However, telecom minister Ravi Shankar Prasad today said: “The first instalment is to be paid in 10 days at the outer limit. We still have six days in this financial year. National revenue is equally important and the image of the country. I will appeal to all the bidders to pay by March 31.”

The Supreme Court today allowed the government to finalise the spectrum auction bids, thus enabling it to collect the initial payment of the total sales of Rs 1,09,874.91 crore from telecom companies before March 31. >> Read More

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Technically Yours,
Team ASR,
Baroda, India.