Thu, 29th September 2016

Anirudh Sethi Report


Archives of “Politics” Category

Moscow Makes Public Full Text of Russia-US Deal on Syria

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov confer at the conclusion of their press conference about their meeting on Syria in Geneva, Switzerland September 9, 2016.Moscow made public the full text of the Russia-US deal on Syria, the Russian Foreign Ministry announced on Tuesday.

The text of the agreement was published on the site of the Russian Foreign Ministry. According to the Russia-US deal on Syria, force can be used for self-defense during the ceasefire, while airstrikesm use of mortars and rockets, as well as the capture of territory is prohibited. Commenting on the release of the document, the foreign ministry said that it had proposed to make the document public, however, Washington refused to do so. The move caused “some questions about whether the US is sincere or not.” “The unwillingness [of the US] to publicly confirm their commitment to separate opposition from al-Nusra Front, al-Qaeda’s affiliate in Syria, and jointly conduct strikes against terrorists and their partners in crime who did not cease hostilities called for special attention.”

Moscow urged Washington to make public the mandate of the joint center on the coordination of airstrikes against terrorists in Syria and the agreement on the monitoring of a road to Aleppo.

Nate Silver: 51.1% Chance Of Trump Winning If Election Held Today

Nate Silver’s website “538” – best known for its (sometimes jarringly) inaccurate statistical forecasts – has adjusted its projections ahead of Monday’s debate, and as of this moment has tipped the odds in the favor of Republican nominee Donald Trump.

In the latest scenario, if the election were held today, the website gives Trump a 51.1% chance of winning the election, with a fractional advantage of 269.7 to 268 electoral votes, even as Trump loses the popular vote by less than 1%.

The win projection stems from Trump winning the key battleground states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Nevada. The same projection shows Clinton winning Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Virginia.

The last time that Trump won the “now-cast” was July 29, after the Republican National Convention, and before Clinton’s “convention bump” that lasted through all of August and most of September.

Save the Date -Key Italian referendum date set for Dec 4

Save the date.

Italian prime minister Matteo Renzi has picked December 4 as the date for his high-stake referendum on constitutional reform, giving his centre-left Democratic party more than two months to seek support for the measures

Mr Renzi’s cabinet approved the date at a short meeting on Monday, Italian media reported. The 41-year old former mayor of Florence has said he would resign in the event of defeat, which could plunge the eurozone’s third largest economy into a new period of political instability with possible repercussions for the rest of the currency area.

Mr Renzi was widely expected to prevail in the poll a few months ago and had earmarked early October for the poll date. But amid rising opposition to the reforms, to the point that the race is even, with a slight edge to the “no” camp, the Italian leader sought to push the date forward, giving himself more time to make the case to voters.

The delay was also supported by Sergio Mattarella, Italy’s president, and will allow Mr Renzi to present the 2017 budget in mid-October and have it passed in at least one branch of parliament before the plebiscite.

The constitutional reforms being sought the government are the most sweeping since the Second World War, sharply diminishing the size and powers of the Senate in an attempt to streamline legislation in a country notorious for its institutional gridlock and succession of governments.

Le Pen Plans to Recognize Crimea as Part of Russia if She Becomes President

Leader of the French Far-right party the Front National (FN) Marine Le Pen delivers an address in Nanterre, suburban Paris on November 14, 2015, in response to the attacks in which at least 128 people were killedLeader of French right-wing party National Front Marine Le Pen told RIA Novosti that if she wins the presidential election in France, she will recognize Crimea as part of Russia.

Thus, she confirmed her statement made in May in an interview with RT France, when she also said that Paris will recognize the legitimacy of the Crimean reunification if she is elected to run the country. “Given the historical realities, as well as the choice which was clearly expressed during the referendum on accession, I will recognize Crimea as part of Russian territory if elected,” Le Pen said. Le Pen is well known for her support for Russia and criticism of anti-Russian sanctions. “European sanctions […] are not only contrary to the interests of France, but are also violation of centuries-old tradition of our country, which never followed the will of the others,” Le Pen said, adding that relations between Russia and France are very important, especially in terms of resolution of international crises.

Crimea seceded from Ukraine to rejoin Russia in March 2014 following a referendum in which over 96 percent of voters supported the move. The West labeled the vote an illegal “annexation.” Moscow has stated that the referendum fully complied with international law.

In February 2016, Marine Le Pen announced her decision to run for president in the 2017 election, the first round of which is scheduled for April 23. Experts believe that the main struggle in the elections will be between former French President Nicolas Sarkozy and former French Prime Minister Alain Juppe.

Merkel Caves To Pressure On Migrant Policy: “Germany Has Done Enough”, As Support For AfD Hits All Time High

After getting pummeled in recent elections and polls, Angela Merkel seems to be finally coming around to the notion that German citizens may not be that supportive of her “open-door” policies which have resulted in over 1 million migrants flowing into Germany in just a year.  Speaking in Vienna at a meeting with nine other heads of government, Merkel proclaimed that “Germany has done enough” and called on the rest of the EU to do more saying “other EU countries will have to jump in.”

The Vienna summit included leaders of nations along the Balkans migrant route and was called in a bid to unblock disagreements at the heart of the immigration problem.  Per the Sunday Express, Austrian Chancellor Christian Kern commiserated with Merkel saying “you will never be able to close a border completely, but for Germany it’s been too much and I understand the concern.” 

As for Austria, Kern has called for a financial deal with Northern African countries as well as Afghanistan and Pakistan along the same lines of the EU-Turkey deal that would involve returning migrants in exchange for travel visas and financial aid. 

Balkan Migrant Route

Doctor: Hillary’s “Abnormal Eye Movements” Hint At Serious Health Issues

Her eyes did not always move in the same direction at the same time. It appears that she has a problem with her left sixth cranial nerve. That nerve serves only one function and that is to make the lateral rectus muscle contract. That muscle turns the eye in the direction away from the midline. 

It comes out of the base of the brain and runs along the floor of the skull, immediately beneath the brain before coursing upward to the eye. Dysfunction of that muscle causes the striking picture of the eyes not aiming in the same direction and causes the patient to suffer double vision.

Like all things medical, there is a long list of potential causes but in my opinion the most likely one, based on Clinton’s known medical history is an intermittent lateral rectus palsy caused by damage to or pressure on her sixth cranial nerve.

It is known that she suffered a traumatic brain injury in late 2012 when she fell and struck her head. What is also known is that she was diagnosed with a transverse sinus thrombosis — blood clot in the major vein at the base of the brain. Almost all patients with a transverse sinus thrombosis suffer swelling of the brain and increased intracranial pressure. Most have headaches, balance issues and visual disturbances — all of which Clinton was reported to have following that event.

Clinton’s physician reported that she was placed on Coumadin (a blood thinner) to dissolve the blood clot. Actually, that is incorrect, because Coumadin has no effect on an existing clot. It serves only to decrease the chance of further clotting occurring Clinton’s physician has also reported that on follow up exam, the clot had resolved. That is surprising since the majority of such clots do not dissolve. The way it was documented that the clot had resolved has not been reported.

Most Indians disappointed with Narendra Modi’s Pakistan policy: Pew survey

Most Indians disapprove of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s handling of India’s relations with Pakistan, while a vast majority believes the use of overwhelming military force is the best way to defeat terrorism, says a survey by US-based Pew Research Center. The survey, conducted among 2,464 respondents in India from April 7 to May 24 – nearly four months before the Uri attack but three months after the PM’s Lahore visit in end-December and the terror attack in Pathankot in January. The survey findings show Modi continues to be a popular leader. There is also a favourable view of his handling of most domestic issues. Majority of Indians are satisfied with the economic growth and hopeful of a bright future. But the gap between Modi and the Gandhis is shrinking. More people approve of Congress President Sonia Gandhi and Vice-President Rahul Gandhi, as also the Congress party, now than they did a year ago. Indians cite crime as the biggest problem (82%), followed by lack of job opportunities (81%), corrupt officials (80%) and terrorism (78%). Indians identify climate change and threat by ISIS as the major international problems. A snapshot of the survey:

Modi still a popular leader: Pew


Business as usual for Putin after landslide victory

putin-asrFor someone who just won a landslide election victory, Russian president Vladimir Putin was remarkably unemotional.

In elections for the Duma, or lower house of parliament, on Sunday, the ruling United Russia party secured a crushing three-quarter majority , up from just over half of the seats. Not a single member of Russia’s increasingly marginalised and demonised liberal opposition managed to win a seat.

The other parties represented in the new Duma are the Communist party, the nationalist Liberal Democrats and the centre-left A Just Russia. These three tame groups have been helping the ruling party to rubber stamp Kremlin policies for the past five years. Now, with 76 per cent of all seats, United Russia can even change the constitution without their approval.

But on Monday Mr Putin showed no delight, describing the results simply as “good” and claiming Russians had voted for stability in the face of economic difficulty and pressures and threats from abroad. Then he went to work, quizzing members of his cabinet about flooding in the Far East and preparations to residential housing for the onset of winter.

Mr Putin’s businesslike attitude was revealing: it showed that for the Kremlin, the election is little more than a ritual. “The authoritarianism that is growing stronger year after year has lowered demand for democratic values,” says Andrei Kolesnikov, a political analyst at the Carnegie Moscow Centre.