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Thu, 19th January 2017

Anirudh Sethi Report

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Archives of “Video” Category

Dramatic Time-Lapse Video Captures Arrival Of Beijing Smog Cloud

The following dramatic time-lapse video, shows a wall of toxic smog rolling into Beijing over a 20-minute period collapsed into a 10 second video; it gives a glimpse of the pollution problem in China’s capital city. Chas Pope, a British engineering consultant working in Beijing, shot the video.

An air-quality index released by China’s municipal environmental protection bureau, which measures potentially hazardous particles in the air, hit 482 on Sunday, almost touching the 500 mark where the scale tops out, and far beyond the point deemed hazardous to health, according to the South China Morning Post.

“Everyone should avoid all physical activity outdoors,” a warning accompanying the reading warns. “People with heart or lung disease, older adults, and children should remain indoors and keep activity levels low.”

Why gut instincts are often wrong

Do we base our big decisions on reason and logic, or on our gut? It’s a question underlying the fine print in the newest book by bestselling author Michael Lewis. He’s been talking with our John Blackstone:

Michael Lewis’ latest book, now finished, is going out to reviewers. When Blackstone asked if he worried about reviews, Lewis replied, “You want to just plum my anxieties? Because I’m happy to do this!”

Lewis would seem to have little reason to be anxious. He’s turned books about bond sales, baseball statistics and the housing crisis into bestsellers. But he admits his upcoming book, “The Undoing Project: A Friendship That Changed Our Minds” (W.W. Norton), doesn’t immediately sound like a compelling read.
Michael Lewis and “The Undoing Project”: Why gut instincts are often wrong

 

Trump Victory Predicted By Professor Who Has Called Every Presidential Race Since 1984

 

American University Professor, Allan Lichtman, has accurately predicted every U.S. presidential election since 1984 and now he’scalling 2016 for Trump.  Lichtman uses a system he calls the “Keys to the White House” which he developed after studying every election cycle from 1860 through 1980.

Lichtman’s “Keys to the White House” are the following 13 true/false questions, where an answer of “true” always favors the re-election of the incumbent party, in this case, Hillary.  If, however, the answer to six or more of the 13 keys is “false” then the incumbent loses.

Here is how Lichtman answered his “13 Keys to the White House”:

1.  Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.

Lichtman Answer:  False “They got crushed.”

2.  Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.

Lichtman Answer:  True

3.  Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.

Lichtman Answer:  False

4.  Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.

Lichtman Answer:  False – “In his highest polling, Gary Johnson is at about 12 to 14 percent. My rule is that you cut it in half. That would mean that he gets six to seven.”

5.  Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

Lichtman Answer:  True

6.  Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

Lichtman Answer:  True

7.  Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.

Lichtman Answer:  False – “No major policy change in Obama’s second term like the Affordable Care Act.”

8.  Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

Lichtman Answer:  True

9.  Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

Lichtman Answer:  True

10.  Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

Lichtman Answer:  True

11.  Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

Lichtman Answer:  False – “No major smashing foreign policy success.”

12.  Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

Lichtman Answer:  False – “Hillary Clinton is not a Franklin Roosevelt.”

13.  Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

Lichtman Answer:  True