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Thu, 30th March 2017

Anirudh Sethi Report

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Archives of “china” Tag

Asia needs $26tn for infrastructure through 2030: ADB report

Asia will need $26 trillion of infrastructure investment in the 15 years from 2016 to 2030, said a report published on Tuesday by the Asian Development Bank.

According to the report, titled Meeting Asia’s Infrastructure Needs, the region needs electricity supply chains to deliver power to the 400 million people who still live without electricity.

 Infrastructure investment in Asia currently meets only about half the demand. Aid from development agencies, such as the ADB, remains a mere 2.5% of total investment. The report calls on regional economies to provide financing through fiscal measures and to make use of private-sector money.

The report covered 45 countries and territories including China and India. To sustain the current level of economic growth, Asia needs $26 trillion over the 15-year period.

In the previous report, released in 2009, the ADB estimated that Asia would need $8 trillion of infrastructure investment between 2010 and 2020.

Japan hosted over 24 million foreign visitors in 2016

Image result for japan visitorJapan’s Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism Minister Keiichi Ishii said on Tuesday the number of foreign visitors to Japan rose around 20% last year to 24.039 million, marking a record figure and a five-year growth streak. Visitors from Southeast Asia notably increased.

Ishii stressed the record number “is a result of measures such as relaxation of visa requirements and improvements of consumption tax exemptions” as Japan considers the tourism industry a pillar of its growth strategy. 

Plenty of travelers last year came from China and South Korea, but growth was slow compared with 2015, when visitors skyrocketed 50% on a weak yen and loosened visa requirements. The yen’s temporary surge and earthquakes in Kumamoto Prefecture hampered growth in 2016, as did the Chinese economic slowdown.

Visitors, however, rose significantly from Southeast Asian countries such as Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam. Tourism campaigns in those countries helped attract more travelers, as did added airplane routes.

China’s FX reserves end-Dec USD 3.011trln vs USD 3.052trln prev

Chinese FX reserves data published a short while ago 7 Jan

  • total reserves now near 6-year lows
  • gold reserves USD 67.878bln vs 69.785bln prev
  • gold reserves 59.24mln troy oz vs 59.240mln prev

A drop in reserves of $41bln, albeit less than the $51bln expected versus a $69bln drop in November and the 6th straight month of declines.

The PBOC has now been forced to reduce its reserves by half a trillion USD since Aug 2015 after it devalued the yuan in a surprise move.

Plenty of fun and games this past week for the offshore and onshore yuan with o/n depo rates surging above 95% at one point.

Yesterday the PBOC hiked CNY by the biggest amount in 11 years vs USD and the onshore pair closed at 6.9230. The Chinese MOFCOM also had this to say on outflow curbs.

Bitcoin Surges Above $1,000 As China Unveils New Capital Controls

As noted yesterday, for the first time in three years, and only the second time in history, bitcoin rose above $1,000 in Yuan-denominated Chinese trading, however it was limited to the lower side of this “round number” psychological barrier in US trading, as BTC flirted with $999.99 for most of the day on the popular Coinbase exchange, without crossing it.

Overnight, however, Chinese demand proved too great and US markets had no choice but to arb the difference. So with Bitcoin trading in China at an implied price of over $1,050 at this moment, bitcoin finally soared above $1,000 in the US as well, trading just around $1,024 on Coinbase as of this moment.

 

China Shows Off Aircraft Carrier Drills, To Sail Into Contested South China Sea

China’s military said on Saturday that its first aircraft carrier group conducted a series of previously unannounced fighter launch, recovery and air combat exercises in the Yellow Sea ahead of a scheduled voyage farther afield. China Radio Intl, citing military sources, said that a naval formation consisting of China’s first, and so far only, aircraft carrier Liaoning, several destroyers and frigates was on training and testing missions last week. The activities also involved several J-15 carrier-borne fighter jets and helicopters.

A J-15 carrier-borne fighter jet is landing on aircraft carrier Liaoning during a
training mission in the Yellow Sea on December 23, 2016. [Photo: Navy.81.cn]

Yuan Collapse Sends China Physical Gold Premium Soaring To 3-Year Highs

Worse than Lehman…”

The premium that mainland Chinese investors are willing to pay for physical gold has surged to over $40 as the Chinese government seeks to curb illegal capital outflows. Following slowing in Tier 1 home price growth, and a collapse in the China bond market, it appears gold panic-buying is accelerating…

This premium is higher than during the Lehman crisis and as bad as the peak of the Chinese banking system liquidity crisis in 2013 as onshore investors appear to prefer the precious metal to hedge against ongoing Yuan devaluation…

But it’s not just precious metals that are bid as alternatives to their paper money, Bitcoin is bid to its highest since Jan 2014…

Is the Bank of Japan TRYING to Crash the Markets?

Is the Bank of Japan is trying to crash the markets?

This is not conspiracy theory. In the last month the BoJ has devalued the Yen 14% against the $USD.

gpc12516

By any other measure this is a crash as far as currencies go. And it could lead to MAJOR issues for the financial system.

The last time the BoJ collapsed the Yen this aggressively the ENTIRE commodity markets imploded collapsing over 40%. Oil ended up collapsing from $60 to sub $48 in a matter of weeks.

India : Tug-of-war over met coke levy

Sharp differences have emerged within the government over imposing an anti-dumping duty on met coke imports from China and Australia, with the commerce ministry pushing for the move and the steel ministry opposing it.

The directorate general of anti-dumping (DGAD), which is part of the commerce and industry ministry, has recommended a duty of $25 per tonne on imports from China and $16 per tonne on shipments from Australia.

Officials said a decision could be expected next week. India had last year raised the import duty on Chinese met coke to 5 per cent from 2.5 per cent.

 Meanwhile, the steel ministry is lobbying for an anti-dumping duty on alloy and non-alloy flat steel products from China and the European Union. Imports of these products have increased four-fold over three years.

The DGAD had initiated an anti-dumping investigation in January following a complaint filed by the Indian Metallurgical Coke Manufacturers Association on behalf of producers such as Saurashtra Fuels, Gujarat NRE Coke, Carbon Edge Industries, Bhatia Coke and Energy and Basudha Udyog.

The companies claimed Australian and Chinese companies were dumping low ash metallurgical coke, and only a levy could save an “otherwise dying domestic industry”.

5 Main Things To Watch In Today’s Chinese GDP Report

There is one simple reason why when the Chinese Q3 GDP print is revealed shortly, it will be an utterly meaningless indicator – the number, as not only traders but the general public know, is a goalseeked, arbitrary political construct meant to convey not information about the economy, but – at best – about Beijing’s intentions what it may or may not do in the future regarding future monetary or fiscal (which as we showed just hit an all time high) stimulus.

In fact, as Evercore ISI said in the company’s latest look at China, “China’s Real GDP data is opaque; Nearly invariant at 7 – 7.5%; No real, nominal, deflator detail; no income-expenditure cross check, etc. No data pros will answer questions.” In short: it is useless. An alternative, and much more informative index created by ISI, is shown by the red line in the chart below – unlike the blue line, or China’s official GDP data, it reflect the real twists and turns in China’s economy.

China’s yuan sinks to six-year low, then erases losses

China’s yuan fell to its lowest level in six years early Monday, breaching a key psychological threshold, before erasing the losses on the first day of trading after a week-long holiday.

Traders said the weakening of the yuan reflected strength in the dollar last week, and they did not see any signs of intervention by state banks to support the yuan after it fell.

 In mid-July, when the yuan last breached the 6.7 mark, state banks intervened heavily.

Some China watchers have wondered if any signs of yuan weakness following the holiday would signal that Beijing was putting the currency back on a slow depreciation path after holding it steady through September.

The currency fell after the People’s Bank of China set the midpoint at 6.7008 yuan per dollar, its weakest fix since September 2010 and about 0.3 percent weaker than the setting on Sept. 30, before a one-week National Day holiday.