Anirudh Sethi Report

If you have a positive expectancy trading system, the only factors that determine how much money you will make per year are the number of trades the system generates, how much capital you allocate to the system, and how accurately you implement the trading signals. If you do not know whether your trading system is positive expectancy then why are you trading it? Expectancy is calculated using the profit or loss on each trade (net of trading implementation
costs) divided by the initial risk (using your stop loss) and then taking the average of this number of a series of trades. Systems that have positive expectancy will make money on average and those with negative expectancy will lose money.

Successful traders only trade systems where the odds of success are in their favor (i.e. the system is positive expectancy) so they know that making money is the result of accurately implementing the system and not just pure luck.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

(From Last 2 months writing same level and see My Sensex level too )

Two days back written and indicated  NF will take Support at 5364-5352 level….Made low of  5356 & taken U-turn !

From 5368 level………………….Our Subscribers are Long and Yesterday  sold 75 % postion around 5500 level !

Levels………Not to be changed everyday !!

Once crosses 5509 with volumes and stays above this level for 5-10 minutes….then nonstop rally upto 5543——–5556 level.

Support exist at 5470—5462 level.

15 Minutes chart indicates ………Upmove will continue upto 10:30 maximum

There after ……………Heavy Volatile move …Your Broker will mint money !

From 13:30 hrs………….till end session ,One side move !!

Above 5509…………….will try to kiss 5543-5556.Best Strategy ,Go short around 5530-5540……..& Your Stoploss will be 5556.So Risk will be Rs.10-15 only.

(Don’t trade blindly & Never Bark )

Updated at 8:14/3rd Sept/BARODA 

The Gambler - This is the “I’m-giving-up-my-job-to-become-a-trader-because-I-don’t-like-working-9-to-5″ idiot. Observe that this bottom-dwelling resident of the phylogenetic scale is not giving up his job because he’s had success at trading. He’s also not giving up his career because he so loves trading that he researches it day or night and has found a winning edge. No, The Gambler doesn’t do anything beyond 9-to-5, because what he’s after are easy riches, not effort and earned success. He hears that others have been successful (usually from Idiot #3), and he figures, “That means I can do it too”. Invariably, the Gambler is attracted to daytrading. Why? It gives him a sense of action, and it justifies his decision to abandon all efforts at productive work. Besides, you can’t really explain to your wife and kids why you’re not out there with working humanity supporting your household when you’re sitting around doing nothing, holding positions for weeks at a time. So the Gambler actively trades in and out of markets, pretends like he’s got a job, and every so often berates his spouse when she wonders when the family will be able to pay its bills. My take on Gamblers? They’re not interested in trading; they’re interested in their fantasy. So interested that they’ll take their bank accounts and families down with them.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

(From Last 2 months writing same level and see My Sensex level too )

My Short Term Target above 5436 was of 5551-5589.Just see made high of 5543 & falling.(Just see in 7 session crashed to 5356 level )

Day before Yesterday indicated NF will take Support at 5364-5352 level….Made low of  5356 & taken U-turn !

From 5368 level………………….Our Subscribers are Long and Yesterday added more long postion once it crossed 5421 level and Target was of 5462.

(It went upto 5488 & closed at 5478 level )

-Just count the Difference from 5368 to 5488 & …..Today’s explosion or explosive rally indicated to our Subscribers in our last mssssge…….Hold long and no short postion …Pls.

ABOVE 5462…………No worry for Bulls.

I think ,Nonstop rally upto 5497———5509 on card !!

(These levels ,I had indicated to our Subscribers …When NF crossed 5462 )

Once crosses this level with volumes and stays above this level for 5-10 minutes will take to 5543———–5555 level.

By 11 O’ Clock………………..11 Baje apni long postion zero kar do !!

Then it will be in Widow mode till 13 :35 hrs.

Support area :5455-5450.

Best Strategy :Above 5509………..No worry ,But if zooms upto 5530-40 level…..zone then keep a stoploss of 5555 & Go short small qty.

Your Risk will be of Rs.10-15 only.

I will Update more to our Subscribers during trading hrs about NF ,BANK NF ,CNX IT and Stocks.

Disclosure :From 5368 long in Nifty Future and From 10690 LONG in Bank NF !

Updated at 8:31/02nd August/Baroda/India

When you have clearly outlined and identified your trading methodology, then you must have the discipline to follow your system. A Lack of Discipline in this regard is the second fatal flaw. If the way you view a price chart or evaluate a potential trade setup is different from how you did it a month ago, then you have either not identified your methodology or you lack the discipline to follow the methodology you have identified. The formula for success is to consistently apply a proven methodology. So the best advice I can give you to overcome a lack of discipline is to define a trading methodology that works best for you and follow it religiously.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

(From Last 2 months writing same level and see My Sensex level too )

My Short Term Target above 5436 was of 5551-5589.Just see made high of 5543 & falling.(Just see in 7 session crashed to 5356 level )

Now ,With keeping a stop of 5566…..Those who had sold might have minted great money in Nifty Future.

-101% No Crytal Ball Gazing !

-yesterday it was indicated NF will take support at 5364-5352 level……

-It made low of 5356 & taken U turn.

From 5352-5360…..Expect Intraday Jump ?

Click above link and see !!

-Intraday SMS to our Subscribers :Buy NF above 5368 with target of 5411 level…….It went upto 5414 in hrs only.

-Intraday Message :It was indicated from 13:15 till end session……one side move !!

Yesterday closed 5404

3DEMA :5421

7DEMA :5445

First it will have to cross 5415-5421 with volumes then …..only will see Strength.

Above these levels will zoom to kiss 5445-5450——-5462 level.

101% Over all Trend DOWN DOWN DOWN

Now from last 7 days its a freefall…Expect Minor Rally or Dead Cat Bounce.

Support area :5385-5365——5354 level.

Short TO Medium Trend Traders…………Just watch :

Just watch the levels very Carefully ,Our Hurdle or Laxman Rekha is intact of 5566

Support Crucial at 5307,Once breaks and closes below this level for 3 Consecutive days then watch More Panic.

I will Update More about NF ,BANK NF ,CNX IT and STOCKS during trading hrs to our Subscribers.

Updated at 7:56/01st Sept/Baroda/India

Human nature often gets in the way of sound investment decision making; even among institutional investors. Do you consider yourself to be “better than average” drivers? Most people do. The Lake Wobegon Effect, as it’s affectionately called, was inspired by the radio series, A Prairie Home Companion by Garrison Keillor, where “all the children are above average.” Seriously though, overconfidence has the potential to make bad investments worse, by pushing obstreperous investors to hang onto losing positions; even when evidence to the contrary is overwhelming. New car buyers love reading favorable reviews about the bright and shiny automobile they just purchased, at the same time they would be highly critical reviews that criticize their decision. As investors, we sift through a myriad of information as we assemble a mosaic. How valuable would our conclusions be if we latched onto data that only supported our views and ignored information that refuted it?

-Last close 10741-

Great Money was minted by our Subscribers on Friday……I think these type of move comes …Once in a Bluemoon !!

-From last 3-4 days indicated 11250 is L.Rekha !

After kissing 11111…twice last week ,started falling.My Target was of 10857.Intraday it kissed this level on Friday and then SMS was sent with target of 10700-10654.

-Do u know in minutes only it crashed from 10857 to 10700-

-What else u want in life ??-

Now ,What to expect ?

Support at 10701-10654 level.If breaks 10654…..then watch another round of Bloodbath.

Today ,Will face Hurdle at 10803-10829 level.

If crosses these levels……then expect more rally.I will Update more to our Subscribers once Bank NF crosses 10829…..or what else u do if not able to cross !!

Short Term Trend own

Medium Term Trend own

-Bearish since last 20-25 days…..!!

Today ,Will try to kiss 6045——6059 level.

Now ,Suppose crosses 6059 with volumes then watch rally upto 6100-6114…But chances are remote.

I will Update more to our Subscribers during trading hrs.

Short Term :May Spike UP

Medium -Long Term own !

My Target intact of 905-860 ….just have patience.

Today ,Watch 965-968 level.

Now once crosses 968 level with volumes and should stay above this level for 5-10 minutes then expect rally and short coverning upto 976—-979 level.

Dead Cat Bounce for 1-2 days…not ruled out.

I think …..By 10.30 to 10:45…Rally will fizzle out & then expect sharp Intraday downslide.

Then again u all start watching EUROPE ,US Market……to decide your trend.

Another Intraday spike up………after 14 hrs…..if Global Markets are up !!No need to use your brain.Your Market moves on FII’S and World Market only.

Over all Trend -Down !!

Rally on Friday was not Manipulative……..But Insiders were having NEWS about  Teesside plant sale.That was the reason it spurted on Friday !!

Today…………..It will have to cross 521 with volumes then only will show strength.

Will zoom to kiss 530-533 level.

(Not interested to buy at all…will sell on rise )

BANK Stocks ,ROLTA ,POLARIS ,TECH MAHINDRA ,GRASIM ,CENTURY and many more stocks…………………

Again writing ,90% Stocks or more are looking weak only.Stock which are falling from last 5-6 sessions…may spurt for 1-2 session…..But dont get trapped !!

I will Update more to our Subscribers during trading hrs.

Updated at 8:34/30th August/Baroda/India

One of the most important aspects about being a trader is to develop a solid system that you are completely confident about. Once you have this trading system in place, it is absolutely critical that you commit to it wholeheartedly through good trades and bad trades. Here’s what William Eckhardt has to say about this subject:

[" . . . if you make a bad trade and you have money management, you are really not in much trouble. However, if you miss a good trade there is nowhere to turn. If you miss good trades with any regularity you're finished. For example, let's say the market moves rapidly through your buying zone and you miss it, you miss your buy signal and instead wait for a retracement to maybe buy cheaper. But, the market just keeps going higher and higher and never retraces. Now what do you do? There's a great temptation to reason that now it's too high to buy. If you buy it now you'll have an initiation price that's too high?
No, the initiation price simply won't have the kind of significance you suppose it will have after the trade is made. You can't miss these trades. Trading systems force discipline to make sure these trades are not missed."]

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

(From Last 2 months writing same level and see My Sensex level too )

My Short Term Target above 5436 was of 5551-5589.Just see made high of 5543 & falling.

Only Born Blinds will not able to see…..But why u people are not reading carefully and minting money ?

From Last two days….Iam writing 5453-5442 are support levels and Yesterday it was written Hurdle was at 5486…….It made high of 5489.

Today ,What to expect ?

5484 is a Hurdle.Crossover with volumes and stays above this level for 5-10 minutes will take to 5500-5505 level.

Support are same :Levels not to be changed everyday…….

5453—-5442 level

Once breaks 5442………Watch allround Panic selling upto 5408 level.

90% Midcap Stocks are Looking Weak.Banking Stocks :Looking Tired.ADAG ,PUNJ ,SUZLON  ,IFCI …..On Rise …Best Sell 

I will Update more to our Subscribers during trading hrs about NF ,Bank NF ,CNX IT

Updated at 8:06/27th August/Baroda/India

The clueless accomplish amazing things–not necessarily because we’re bold, brilliant innovators, but perhaps because we just don’t know any better. We see the simplicity of the forest while Those Who Know are overanalyzing the complex subtleties of the trees (and miss the point). Sometimes NOT knowing about a “problem” weakens (or eliminates) it.

Perception is a powerful tool. Believing there’s a limitation can sometimes create that limitation. And for the clueless who don’t know about the limitation, well, it’s as if it doesn’t exist. Belief matters. Not everywhere, not in everything, but more than we give credence to.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

(From Last 2 months writing same level and see My Sensex level too )

My Short Term Target above 5436 was of

5551-5589

Just see made high of 5543 & falling.

-Yesterday ,I had written below 5482 level …NF will slide to kiss 5453-5442 level.It made low of 5461 & flared upto 5495 & closed at 5469 level.

Support area :5453-5442 level.

Hurdle at 5486

If crosses then also will face Hurdle at 5501-5506 level.

(No if & but…On Rise will sell only )

(Except FII’s……….Nobody is Buying )

(Think ……Think………To whom they will sell )

Today ,If breaks 5442 level with volumes then watch another round of panic and NF can slide upto 5408 level in hrs only.

Watch 5453-5442 …if u want to take Long

Watch 5501-5506.if want to go Short

(Nothing else ……..)

I WILL update more Intraday levels for NF ,Bank NF and Stocks to our Subscribers during trading hrs.

Updated at 8:25/26th August/Baroda

The most important thing is to have a method for staying with your winners and getting rid of your losers. By having thought out your objective and having a strategy for getting out in case the market trend changes, you greatly increase the potential for staying in your winning positions. The traits of a successful trader: The most important is discipline – I am sure everyone says that. Second, you have to have patience; if you have a good trade on, you have to be able to stay with it. Third, you need courage to go into the market, and courage comes from adequate capitalization. Fourth, you must have a willingness to lose; that is also related to adequate capitalization. Fifth, you need a strong desire to win. You have to have the attitude that if a trade loses, you can handle it without any problem and come back to do the next trade. You can’t let a losing trade get to you emotionally. If a trade doesn’t look right, I get out and take a small loss.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

(From Last 2 months writing same level and see My Sensex level too )

My Short Term Target above 5436 was of

5551-5589

Just see made high of 5543 & falling.

Now ,What to expect ??

5482 is Crucial Support.

(101% All our Subscribers are Short and only in Nifty ,But in Bank NF +Many other stocks )

Once breaks and trades below 5487 with volumes and it should remain below this level for 5-10 minutes then………………….

Nonstop slide upto 5453-5442 in PANIC.

Hurdle at 5516.Crossover will take to 5528-5532

Major Hurdle at 5551-5559 level.

(I will Update more about NF ,Bank NF ,Stocks to our Subscribers during trading hrs )

Updated at 7:37/25th August/Baroda/India

We all make decisions that could have turned out better. Many times such decisions aren’t “mistakes” in the true sense of the word. It’s a mistake to make a large investment in a business when you know nothing about that business. It’s a mistake to turn a small loss into a large loss by being stubborn.

But it’s not a mistake to make a trade and then see the stock market behave in a manner that wasn’t anticipated. Believing that you can consistently predict where the market is moving, and when it will get there — that’s a mistake.

 

Please don’t assume that every time you lose money it’s because you made a mistake. But don’t always blame it on bad luck. Analyze your trade decision and decide whether it was appropriate. When you make a mistake, that’s a learning experience. However, it’s important to recognize the difference between a true mistake and a situation in which a trade didn’t work.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

My Target 6336-6593

If able to fullfill my Condition then in next 2 months ….will see UNEXPECTED level.

Short Term Target was of 5551-5589….Above 5436 level.

(Now if u are holding long since it closed above 5436 level then u might have minted great money and if not then…………..No worry for me )

(Bank NF…From 9800 to 10900 …already achieved ).My Laxman Rekha is at 11250

Hurdles ,Iam writing from last 3 days are 5551-5559…if crosses 5559 then expect final jump upto 5582-5590 level.

Support :5522-5494

Eating Profit @ Higher level is one thing ,Going Fresh short is another.

Till we get REVERSAL signal….No short selling.

Around 5570-5580 level….Sure will go short.

FII’S one side Buyer in Indian Market

Indian Mutual Fund……..Not selling

Then Who is selling the stocks ???

Retail participant is ZERO ….A Million $ Question …..to whom these FII’s will sell ?Volume is Stagnant…..One Day Cement is Up ,Next Day FMCG and third day Heavy Weight stocks.

Banks ,Refinery………………Extreme level of Manipuation ,price rigging going on.

But ,We have to trade with levels only.If u dont have Target and Method to trade …then u will always remain in the category of 90% (Losers only )

I Will Update more Stocks ,Intraday levels to our Subscribers during trading hrs

Updated at 8:26/24th August/Baroda/India

-Being wrong is acceptable, but staying wrong is totally unacceptable. Being wrong isn’t a choice, but staying wrong is.
-Understand that you will always make mistakes. The only way to prevent mistakes from turning into disasters is to accept losses while they are small and then move on Concentrate on mastering one style that suits your personality. -Most people just cannot weather the learning curve. As soon as it gets difficult, and their approach isn’t working up to their expectations, they begin to look for something else. As a  result, they become slightly efficient in many areas without ever becoming very good  in any single methodology.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

Yesterday ,I had written above 5440 will zoom to kiss 5456-5461 level

Above these level ,My target was of  5479-5484.Just see it flared upto 5494 level.

Now ,What to expect ???

-From last 3 days writing 5393-5385 are support area.Now everyday….same levels …I can’t write.

Trading is an art.To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.

Just watch 5497 level !!

Decisive crossover above this level with volumes will take to 5520-5528 level in this move.

My Short Term target above 5436….is intact only :Will try to kiss 5551—5589 level

Support at 3Dema :5455 ,7 DEMA :5445 level !!

Yes ,Fiery move on card.Spurt to 5550–5590 on card.

This will be the area……Where 95% Traders will get trapped !!

Trade with levels ,My views can be Bearish ,My timing may get wrong…But u had followed levels……….then no crying business !!At 9800 written target of Bank Nifty :10900 level…….Yesterday it kissed that level.At 1055 level told and written …Reliance will crash to 995 & then upto 973-965………Yesterday kissed 962 level.No Judgement or Justification needed from anybody…..your aim should be….to Mint Money Money and after a day ,week ,month or year….your Balance sheet should be in plus side…then only consider yourself as master…other wise everything else is zero.90% those who are losing money…….are wasting their precious time only…..They are making rich to Brokers and Government …Nothing else.

More Analysis ,Intraday Levels to our Subscribers.

UPDATED at 7:27/19th August/Baroda/India

Success in trading is a function of talents and skills – Trading, in this sense, is no different from chess, Olympic events, or acting. Inborn abilities (talents) and developed competencies (skills) determine one’s level of success. From rock bands to ballet dancers and golfers, only a small percentage of participants in any performance activity are good enough to sustain a living from their performances. The key to success is finding a seamless fit between one’s talents/skills and the specific opportunities available in a performance field. For traders, this means finding a superior fit between your abilities and the specific markets and strategies you will be trading. Many performance problems are the result of a suboptimal fit between what the trader is good at and how the trader is trading.

Major Hurdle at 5566

Three Consecutive close above this level+Weekly close (Must ) then expect allround unexpected buying and next target with No if and but :Kissing all time high !!

Yesterday ,I had written it will face Hurdle at 5440 level….Just see it oscilalted between 5410–5444 level !!

-Another low volume day….Lowest in last 6 days.

Now ……….What do ?

Friday’s High and Monday’s low are crucial Trend Deciders.

5479-5393 -Crucial Hurdle and Support.

Today above 5440……Will take to 5456-5461 level !

-Crossover above 5461 will take to 5479-5484 level.

-5393-5385 are support levels.

-101% Dead Market !

-Only BANK Stocks are moving up up up !Remember my Target of Bank NF 10900+…written to Buy and Hold at 9800 level….Triangle Breakout.

-What happened to IT in Year 2000 or Real Estate Stocks in 2008…….same will happen to BANK STOCKS….

-Its a Matter of time ,Another 5-10% Jump.The day this Bubble will Burst….everything will collapse…………Somthing is Fishy……Traders dont have to worry…..because they will never earn (Indian Retail Investors till today are not buying )and Game played by Big Boys….want to exit…..But No Buyer….so price rigging going on and on.Just save these lines….and remember us !!

I will Update more about NIFTY ,Bank NF ,CNX IT and stocks to our Subscribers.

Updated at 7:57/18th August/Baroda