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Thu, 22nd June 2017

Anirudh Sethi Report

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Archives of “voting system” Tag

French election – 95% counted: Macron 23.85%, Le Pen 21.58%

France’s Interior Ministry counting continues

95+ % of votes now counted in this first round. Results refining, Macron adding a few 2nd place decimals to his lead:
  • Macron 23.85%
  • Le Pen 21.58%
ps.
  • Fillon 19.96%
  • Melenchon 19.49%
The second, and final round will be a Macron, Le Pen runoff
  • Latest opinion polls: Opinion polls for 2nd round released: 60%+ Macron, Le Pen around 40%
  • The second round is two weeks off: When is the final round of the French election? (Spoiler alert, May 7)

War ‘Works’ – Trump Favorability Hits 50%, Highest In 2 Months

It appears that if you want to be liked by the American public, go to war. After a non-stop plunge to record low ratings for a new president, Rasmussen’s most recent data shows President Trump’s favorability surging to 2-month highs since he started rattling sabres around the world.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows that 50% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. This is the first time the president’s overall approval rating has been back in the 50s in nearly a month. Just after his inauguration, Trump’s job approval peaked at 59% and remained in the 50s every day until early March. It’s gone as low as 42% since then. The latest figures for Trump include 30% who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 39% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -9.

Rahul Gandhi’s name proposed in Guinness Book of World Records for loosing 27 elections

Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi, who is facing a tough time in his political career due to the back to back defeats across the country, is once again making the headlines. This time Rahul has been into the limelight for a completely unique reason. Vishal Diwan, who is an engineering student from Hoshangabad Madhya Pradesh has approached to the Guinness Book of World Records and requested to enlist Rahul Gandhi’s name for losing as many as 27 elections in the country.

Diwan believes that the fact that Congress party has lost 27 elections in the span of 5 years is somewhere a result of Rahul Gandhi’s active participation in election campaigning and media interactions. As a matter of fact, this number consistent losses are more than enough to get qualified for the record book. In order to fulfill his wish, Diwan has written a letter to the administration of Guinness Books and have also paid the enrollment fees for the same. Diwan has received the confirmation of acceptance of his application, but the US-based record book have not confirmed whether it will approve such request or not.

Here’s How Trump Could Still Actually ‘Lose’ The Presidential Election

On Wednesday night, controversial filmmaker Michael Moore made yet another mind-numbing prediction: He strongly suggested to late-night talk show host Seth Meyers that the Electoral College would deny President-elect Donald Trump a victory prior to his January 20th, 2017 inauguration. Moore previously stunned everyone by predicting Trump’s victory at a time when the analytics — and the political-media establishment — all favored Hillary Clinton.

There is a mechanism for what Moore is suggesting, however unlikely, and it exists within the Electoral College itself in the form of a decentralized, existential bunch of wonks. And, historically speaking, they have never actually asserted their power and changed a presidential election. They’re called ‘faithless electors,’ people nominated to represent the will of the people but who may, constitutionally speaking, revoke their duties. So far, there are seven ‘faithless electors’ who have defected from voting for Trump in the Electoral College. Count ‘em, seven — out of 270. That’s not a lot, obviously, but the mind balks at how quickly momentum could swing against a candidate that garnered over 2.5 million fewer votes than his challenger in the popular vote.

As of Thursday evening, the first Republican ‘faithless elector’ declared he would not vote Trump and that the presidency “is not a done deal.”

Here are three reasons why I believe Trump could, incredibly, still lose this election:

Trump has revealed himself to be fully in support of the establishment.

With his selections for pretty much the full gamut of cabinet positions, Trump has revealed himself to be an establishmentfigure, which is exactly the perception he ran against. Will his voters turn against him? Mostly no (or, at least, not yet). Will the other 74.5 percent of Americans who did not support him reject his victory? Possibly. Will this alone cause Trump to end up losing the vaunted Electoral College? No. Of course not! That’s why there are two more reasons.

Hillary won the popular vote by over 2.5 million.

This is fact. The number is actually growing. It’s historic; it’s actually disgusting if one is prone to be disgusted by electoral politics. Will this alone — or in conjunction with reason one — cause Trump to lose? No. Of course not! That’s why there’s one more, important, reason.

Elections can be stolen.

This happens. It happens more than you think. Usually, it happens before the popular vote – you know, when the votes are actually coming in, in the form of vote flipping and “magic fractions.” The 2000 election was stolen for Bush, the 2004 electionwas stolen again for Bush, and the Obama elections probably would have been stolen except that he won by such huge margins it would have been obvious. And many, many elections have been rigged or gerrymandered in some way.

Over 2 Million Hillary Supporters Sign Petition To Overturn Election Results

results of the Nov. 8 election if he were to be unsuccessful in gaining 270 electoral votes. “I will look at it at the time…. I’ll keep you in suspense,” Trump told moderator Chris Wallace. His rival at the time, Hillary Clinton, called the now president-elect’s response “horrifying,” and throughout the accusation of “talking down our democracy.”

 Clinton would run as long as she could with accusing Trump of undermining the democratic process by refusing to accepted the election results, making it a solid part of her attack platform from the third debate forward. During rallies, her supporters would boo Trump whenever Clinton mentioned the fact he refused to say he’d accepted.
 Well, now it turns out that Clinton’s supporters are the ones who are refusing to accept the election results as they were announced in the early morning of Nov. 9.

A Change.org petition started by a man in North Carolina to persuade the Electoral College to elect Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump has 2,170,188 signatures since its creation on Wednesday night.

The petition reads:

On December 19, the Electors of the Electoral College will cast their ballots. If they all vote the way their states voted, Donald Trump will win. However, they can vote for Hillary Clinton if they choose. Even in states where that is not allowed, their vote would still be counted, they would simply pay a small fine — which we can be sure Clinton supporters will be glad to pay!

We are calling on the Electors to ignore their states’ votes and cast their ballots for Secretary Clinton. Why?

Mr. Trump is unfit to serve. His scapegoating of so many Americans, and his impulsivity, bullying, lying, admitted history of sexual assault, and utter lack of experience make him a danger to the Republic.

Secretary Clinton WON THE POPULAR VOTE and should be President.

Hillary won the popular vote. The only reason Trump “won” is because of the Electoral College.

 

 

Trump, Hillary Tied In Latest ABC Poll; Trump Seen As “More Honest” For The First Time

The latest ABC / Washington Post poll shows a dead heat in the 2016 presidential race with just 6 days left until election day.  The tie comes despite a massive plunge in Hillary’s “trustworthiness” proving that her supporters are blindly loyal and/or ABC’s polling data is simply wrong.  That said, ABC points out that Clinton leads among those who say they’ve already voted by a margin of 54-41%…though we suspect a lot of that 54% would like to have their vote back after the latest FBI revelations.

On the particulars, the latest poll was fully conducted after the latest FBI revelations and included an 8-point sampling gap in favor of democrats.

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 28-31, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,182 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 37-29-29 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

ABC

Business as usual for Putin after landslide victory

putin-asrFor someone who just won a landslide election victory, Russian president Vladimir Putin was remarkably unemotional.

In elections for the Duma, or lower house of parliament, on Sunday, the ruling United Russia party secured a crushing three-quarter majority , up from just over half of the seats. Not a single member of Russia’s increasingly marginalised and demonised liberal opposition managed to win a seat.

The other parties represented in the new Duma are the Communist party, the nationalist Liberal Democrats and the centre-left A Just Russia. These three tame groups have been helping the ruling party to rubber stamp Kremlin policies for the past five years. Now, with 76 per cent of all seats, United Russia can even change the constitution without their approval.

But on Monday Mr Putin showed no delight, describing the results simply as “good” and claiming Russians had voted for stability in the face of economic difficulty and pressures and threats from abroad. Then he went to work, quizzing members of his cabinet about flooding in the Far East and preparations to residential housing for the onset of winter.

Mr Putin’s businesslike attitude was revealing: it showed that for the Kremlin, the election is little more than a ritual. “The authoritarianism that is growing stronger year after year has lowered demand for democratic values,” says Andrei Kolesnikov, a political analyst at the Carnegie Moscow Centre.

A New Problem For Hillary Emerges

With Trump again surging in the polls, including key battleground states like Ohio, and having regained all the momentum from a suddenly slumping and vulnerable Hillary, the Democrats are panicking as her lead in the RealClearPolitics average has shrunk to just 1 points.

However, as the latest set of polls shows, the Donald is not the only thing Hillary’s campaign has to worry about as a new threat has emerged. Or rather two.

A new Quinnipiac University poll shows that is Clinton suffering thanks to third-party nominees Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, whose support has soared among millennial voters. In that poll, Clinton leads Trump by 48% to 43% in a two-way match-up. Her head to head lead is particularly pronounced among voters aged 18-34, who pick Clinton over Trump by a margin of 55% to 34%.

But when Johnson and Stein are included in the survey, Clinton’s lead over Trump falls to just 2%, or 41% to 39%, with Johnson at 13% and Stein at 4%.

EU threatens France over economic failings

France, Spain and Slovenia are set to be criticised in a major commission report on Wednesday as countries that have failed, amid recession and the financial crisis, to cut public debt and to implement structural reforms of their economies.

The commission is also expected to express concern over Britain, with a warning that the continuing credit crunch is jeopardising growth and attempts to cut public debt, although the Government, outside the eurozone, can escape the humiliation of having sanctions imposed.

European Union studies on “macroeconomic imbalances” have been given new teeth this year under eurozone “governance” legislation that gives the commission powers, backed by substantial fines, to override national sovereignty to impose reforms. Read More