Archives for: Analysis Category

Should India Hedge Crude?

21 October 2014 - 12:24 pm

At $80 or below, Brent Crude may be low enough for us to set up longer term hedges, if available. This should be the realm of oil refiners, but most of them do not hedge, and they are government owned etc.  In a purely competitive market, they should have been hedging and reducing the cost of fuels if the hedge worked and so on, but this is not a proper market. In fact, they end up buying dollars directly from the RBI whenever RBI feels that their buying will distort the actual market.

This needs a broader approach because India imports a lot of crude. Just oil imports are more than 30% of India’s overall imports (last year: $160 billion out of the total imports of $480 bn). That means it should be of interest to reduce the overall impact of oil imports. However, the market may not really allow for long term hedges (what if the 2 year or 3 year futures are only available for a much higher price?), which means the question is moot. >> Read More

Nikkei closes down -2.03% at 14,804.28

21 October 2014 - 11:42 am
  • -306.95
  • open 15115.29
  • high 15115.29
  • low 14761.84
  • USDJPY 106.40

China’s National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday the country’s gross domestic product rose 7.3% on the year for three months through September, the slowest growth since the first quarter of 2009.

     Inflation-adjusted economic growth slowed, quarter-on-quarter, for the time since the January-March period of 2014, and matched the average market estimate in a survey by The Nikkei and Nikkei Quick News

     Investment and production were stagnant, largely due to a slowdown in home sales throughout the country. The slowing Chinese economy may, in turn, hamper global growth. >> Read More


This is how Reuters summarized it: 

President Barack Obama made a rare appearance on the campaign trail on Sunday with a rally to support the Democratic candidate for governor in Maryland, but early departures of crowd members while he spoke underscored his continuing unpopularity.


With approval levels hovering around record lows, Obama has spent most of his campaign-related efforts this year raising money for struggling Democrats, who risk losing control of the U.S. Senate in the Nov. 4 midterm election.

>> Read More


Barack Obama and the head of the CDC need to quit saying that we know exactly how Ebola spreads.  Because the truth is that there is much about this virus that we simply do not know.  For example, a top Ebola scientist that is working in the heart of the outbreak in Liberia says that this version of Ebola looks like it could be “a very different bug” from past versions.  Other leading scientists are echoing his concerns.  And yet Barack Obama and Thomas Frieden continue to publicly proclaim that we know precisely how this virus behaves.  Not only is that bad science, but it could also potentially result in the unnecessary deaths of a very large number of people.  For example, Obama has refused to implement an Ebola travel ban because he is greatly underestimating the seriousness of this virus.  This decision could turn out to be incredibly costly.  If what you will read about below is true, we could be dealing with some sort of “super Ebola” that nobody has ever seen before.

Peter Jahrling of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease is on the front lines fighting this disease in Liberia.  He is one of the top authorities in the world on Ebola, and what his team has been seeing under the microscope is incredibly sobering >> Read More

ECB starts buying eurozone covered bonds

20 October 2014 - 16:08 pm

The European Central Bank has started to buy covered bonds, launching its latest attempt to stave off a vicious bout of economic stagnation in the currency area.

A spokesperson for the ECB confirmed that the central bank had begun purchasing the assets on Monday, 

The purchases are the first in a bond-buying programme which is expected to see the ECB place billions of euros of covered bonds and asset-backed securities on its balance sheet over the next two years in an attempt to revive lending and growth across the region. >> Read More

Never Give Up

20 October 2014 - 15:54 pm

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China Mobile profits fall 10%

20 October 2014 - 14:56 pm

China Mobile, the telecoms group that boasts more subscribers than most countries have people, has suffered a setback as costs rise and competition increases.

The Hong Kong-listed company said profit fell nearly 10 per cent in its first three quarters from the same period a year ago, to Rmb82.6bn ($13.5bn).

It partly blamed competition from mobile Internet apps that provide free voice and mobile messaging. Total voice usage fell 0.3 per cent from a year ago, while mobile messaging fell 20.2 per cent

>> Read More


Now Trading at 7899

Our Hurdles were at 7944–7960 level.

It kissed High of 7940 & fallllllllllllllling !

sms-3 days

Sell NF at 7930…Stop 7960 & Relax !

Now -What to expect

Crucial Support now at 7881 level.

Decisive Break with volumes………and stays below for 15-20 minutes will take to 

7846—7834 level.

Hurdles at 7944——–7960 is LAXMAN REKHA !

More Details to our Subscribers ,Updated at 2:45/20th Oct/Baroda

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Baroda, India.